Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 7.070910 8.225926 9.472742 10.914188 12.530032 14.280790 16.316353
2025-11-30 5.460982 6.990815 8.768565 10.969465 13.602274 16.631363 20.359327
2025-12-07 4.483030 6.185370 8.279164 11.007832 14.430578 18.540606 23.803555
2025-12-14 3.826937 5.631901 7.961594 11.129966 15.260808 20.393697 27.174745
2025-12-21 3.288012 5.135118 7.626196 11.145621 15.892497 21.967917 30.210729
2025-12-28 2.957299 4.868576 7.547357 11.458389 16.887705 24.011047 33.891363
2026-01-04 2.653776 4.595187 7.417368 11.666202 17.723263 25.851853 37.353358
2026-01-11 2.354172 4.285580 7.195569 11.708571 18.307520 27.354412 40.396263
2026-01-18 2.009478 3.858626 6.751967 11.379837 18.325406 28.056388 42.350555
2026-01-25 1.733524 3.506705 6.384261 11.124096 18.414084 28.835881 44.412517
2026-02-01 1.490244 3.177387 6.016940 10.831503 18.415093 29.469661 46.268254
2026-02-08 1.287987 2.893225 5.693273 10.575677 18.443540 30.125955 48.157606
2026-02-15 1.092799 2.597075 5.323137 10.218793 18.297562 30.523468 49.697615
2026-02-22 0.986000 2.458076 5.212692 10.281990 18.811710 31.921142 52.747556
2026-03-01 0.888081 2.322818 5.094421 10.318783 19.277326 33.252697 55.730833
2026-03-08 0.811181 2.220730 5.026511 10.434656 19.871562 34.795569 59.071055
2026-03-15 0.730828 2.098955 4.908470 10.449508 20.291755 36.073379 62.036221
2026-03-22 0.688972 2.059082 4.945728 10.746265 21.198495 38.145152 66.277970
2026-03-29 0.640587 1.996609 4.931231 10.943483 21.938474 39.968580 70.177054
2026-04-05 0.582149 1.900412 4.838042 10.983695 22.402084 41.354307 73.419615
2026-04-12 0.500405 1.730577 4.572593 10.671727 22.222535 41.674684 74.971940
2026-04-19 0.434011 1.588798 4.351993 10.429088 22.149722 42.160442 76.791591
2026-04-26 0.373265 1.450456 4.123480 10.151552 21.994329 42.494692 78.365058